Baye and 電子書籍 [本・雑誌・コミック]

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商品	説明	価格
Harry potter and love stories from one potterhead harry potter themed love stories【電子書籍】[ nurlana babayeva ] 楽天Kobo電子書籍ストア	＜p＞fictional harry potter stories from a potterhead＜/p＞＜p＞i am a harry potter fan and i am a novice writer＜/p＞＜p＞I wrote a dramatic harry potter story in this story and you will see different positions harry potter characters in this story and i added a lot of new characters＜/p＞＜p＞as an example luna and hermione and ginny are sister.Hermione and Ron are about to get married, but Draco Malfoy prevents them from getting married and marries Hermione. they fight for their love.＜/p＞＜p＞Amelia Granger is the mother of hermione and ginny and luna.But she there is a secret she hides from everyone, her ex-husband is max darkness.max darkness is a psychopath, to is madly obsessed with him.＜/p＞画面が切り替わりますので、しばらくお待ち下さい。 ※ご購入は、楽天kobo商品ページからお願いします。※切り替わらない場合は、こちらをクリックして下さい。 ※このページからは注文できません。	488円
Modern Approaches to Clinical Trials Using SAS: Classical, Adaptive, and Bayesian Methods【電子書籍】楽天Kobo電子書籍ストア	＜p＞Get the tools you need to use SAS? in clinical trial design! Unique and multifaceted, Modern Approaches to Clinical Trials Using SAS: Classical, Adaptive, and Bayesian Methods, edited by Sandeep M. Menon and Richard C. Zink, thoroughly covers several domains of modern clinical trial design: classical, group sequential, adaptive, and Bayesian methods that are applicable to and widely used in various phases of pharmaceutical development. Written for biostatisticians, pharmacometricians, clinical developers, and statistical programmers involved in the design, analysis, and interpretation of clinical trials, as well as students in graduate and postgraduate programs in statistics or biostatistics, the book touches on a wide variety of topics, including dose-response and dose-escalation designs; sequential methods to stop trials early for overwhelming efficacy, safety, or futility; Bayesian designs that incorporate historical data; adaptive sample size re-estimation; adaptive randomization to allocate subjects to more effective treatments; and population enrichment designs. Methods are illustrated using clinical trials from diverse therapeutic areas, including dermatology, endocrinology, infectious disease, neurology, oncology, and rheumatology. Individual chapters are authored by renowned contributors, experts, and key opinion leaders from the pharmaceutical/medical device industry or academia. Numerous real-world examples and sample SAS code enable users to readily apply novel clinical trial design and analysis methodologies in practice.＜/p＞画面が切り替わりますので、しばらくお待ち下さい。 ※ご購入は、楽天kobo商品ページからお願いします。※切り替わらない場合は、こちらをクリックして下さい。 ※このページからは注文できません。	5,850円
The Vanishing Generation Faith and Uprising in Modern Uzbekistan【電子書籍】[ Bagila Bukharbayeva ] 楽天Kobo電子書籍ストア	＜p＞As a young reporter in Uzbekistan, Bagila Bukharbayeva was a witness to her countrys search for an identity after the collapse of the Soviet Union. While self-proclaimed religious leaders argued about what was the true Islam, Bukharbayeva shows how some of the neighborhood boys became religious, then devout, and then a threat to the country's authoritarian government. ＜em＞The Vanishing Generation＜/em＞ provides an unparalleled look into what life is like in a religious sect, the experience of people who live for months and even years in hiding, and the fabricated evidence, torture, and kidnappings that characterize an authoritarian government. In doing so, she provides a rare and unforgettable story of what life is like today inside the secretive and tightly controlled country of Uzbekistan. Balancing intimate memories of playmates and neighborhood crushes with harrowing stories of extremism and authoritarianism, Bukharbayeva gives a voice to victims whose stories would never otherwise be heard.＜/p＞画面が切り替わりますので、しばらくお待ち下さい。 ※ご購入は、楽天kobo商品ページからお願いします。※切り替わらない場合は、こちらをクリックして下さい。 ※このページからは注文できません。	2,075円
Bayesian Statistics the Fun Way Understanding Statistics and Probability with Star Wars, LEGO, and Rubber Ducks【電子書籍】[ Will Kurt ] 楽天Kobo電子書籍ストア	＜p＞＜strong＞Fun guide to learning Bayesian statistics and probability through unusual and illustrative examples.＜/strong＞＜/p＞＜p＞Probability and statistics are increasingly important in a huge range of professions. But many people use data in ways they don't even understand, meaning they aren't getting the most from it. ＜em＞Bayesian Statistics the Fun Way＜/em＞ will change that.＜/p＞＜p＞This book will give you a complete understanding of Bayesian statistics through simple explanations and un-boring examples. Find out the probability of UFOs landing in your garden, how likely Han Solo is to survive a flight through an asteroid shower, how to win an argument about conspiracy theories, and whether a burglary really was a burglary, to name a few examples.＜/p＞＜p＞By using these off-the-beaten-track examples, the author actually makes learning statistics fun. And you'll learn real skills, like how to:＜/p＞＜p＞- How to measure your own level of uncertainty in a conclusion or belief＜br /＞ - Calculate Bayes theorem and understand what it's useful for＜br /＞ - Find the posterior, likelihood, and prior to check the accuracy of your conclusions＜br /＞ - Calculate distributions to see the range of your data＜br /＞ - Compare hypotheses and draw reliable conclusions from them＜/p＞＜p＞Next time you find yourself with a sheaf of survey results and no idea what to do with them, turn to ＜em＞Bayesian Statistics the Fun Way＜/em＞ to get the most value from your data.＜/p＞画面が切り替わりますので、しばらくお待ち下さい。 ※ご購入は、楽天kobo商品ページからお願いします。※切り替わらない場合は、こちらをクリックして下さい。 ※このページからは注文できません。	4,167円
Quantum Mechanics and Bayesian Machines【電子書籍】[ George Chapline ] 楽天Kobo電子書籍ストア	＜p＞This compendium brings together the fields of Quantum Computing, Machine Learning, and Neuromorphic Computing. It provides an elementary introduction for students and researchers interested in quantum or neuromorphic computing to the basics of machine learning and the possibilities for using quantum devices for pattern recognition and Bayesian decision tree problems. The volume also highlights some possibly new insights into the meaning of quantum mechanics, for example, why a description of Nature requires probabilistic rather than deterministic methods.＜/p＞＜p＞＜strong＞Contents:＜/strong＞＜/p＞＜ul＞＜li＞＜p＞Preface＜/p＞＜/li＞＜li＞＜p＞About the Author＜/p＞＜/li＞＜li＞＜p＞Acknowledgments＜/p＞＜/li＞＜li＞＜p＞Introduction＜/p＞＜/li＞＜li＞＜p＞＜em＞＜strong＞Six Fundamental Discoveries:＜/strong＞＜/em＞＜/p＞＜ul＞＜li＞Bayes's Probability Formula＜/li＞＜li＞The Wiener and Kalman?Bucy Filters＜/li＞＜li＞Bellman's Dynamic Programming Approach to Optimal Control＜/li＞＜li＞Feynman's Path Integral Approach to Quantum Mechanics＜/li＞＜li＞Quantum Solution of the Traveling Salesman Problem (TSP)＜/li＞＜/ul＞＜/li＞＜li＞＜p＞＜em＞＜strong＞Ockham's Razor:＜/strong＞＜/em＞＜/p＞＜ul＞＜li＞Bayesian Searches＜/li＞＜li＞A Tale of Two Costs＜/li＞＜li＞Hidden Factors and the Helmholtz Machine＜/li＞＜/ul＞＜/li＞＜li＞＜p＞＜em＞＜strong＞Control Theory:＜/strong＞＜/em＞＜/p＞＜ul＞＜li＞The Hamilton?Jacobi?Bellman Equation＜/li＞＜li＞Pontryagin Maximum Principle＜/li＞＜li＞Lie?Poisson Dynamics＜/li＞＜li＞＜em＞H＜/em＞∞ Control＜/li＞＜/ul＞＜/li＞＜li＞＜p＞＜em＞＜strong＞Integrable Systems:＜/strong＞＜/em＞＜/p＞＜ul＞＜li＞RH Solution of the Airy Equation＜/li＞＜li＞The KdV Equation＜/li＞＜li＞Segal?Wilson Construction＜/li＞＜li＞The NLS Equation＜/li＞＜li＞Galois Remembered＜/li＞＜/ul＞＜/li＞＜li＞＜p＞＜em＞＜strong＞Quantum Tools:＜/strong＞＜/em＞＜/p＞＜ul＞＜li＞Weyl Remembered＜/li＞＜li＞Helstrom's Theorem and Universal Hilbert Spaces＜/li＞＜li＞Measurement-based Quantum Computation＜/li＞＜/ul＞＜/li＞＜li＞＜p＞＜em＞＜strong＞Quantum Self-organization:＜/strong＞＜/em＞＜/p＞＜ul＞＜li＞Pontryagin Control and Quantum Criticality＜/li＞＜li＞Quantum Theory of Innovations＜/li＞＜li＞Quantum Helmholtz Machine＜/li＞＜li＞Ad Mammalian Intelligence＜/li＞＜/ul＞＜/li＞＜li＞＜p＞＜em＞＜strong＞Holistic Computing:＜/strong＞＜/em＞＜/p＞＜ul＞＜li＞Quantum Mechanics and 3D Geometry＜/li＞＜li＞Cognitive Science and Quantum Physics＜/li＞＜/ul＞＜/li＞＜li＞＜p＞＜em＞＜strong＞Appendices:＜/strong＞＜/em＞＜/p＞＜ul＞＜li＞Gaussian Processes＜/li＞＜li＞Wiener?Hopf Methods＜/li＞＜li＞Riemann Surfaces＜/li＞＜li＞The Eightfold Way＜/li＞＜li＞Quantum Theory of Brownian Motion＜/li＞＜/ul＞＜/li＞＜li＞＜p＞References＜/p＞＜/li＞＜li＞＜p＞Index＜/p＞＜/li＞＜/ul＞＜p＞＜strong＞Readership:＜/strong＞ Researchers, academics, professionals and graduate students in pattern recognition/image analysis, machine learning, quantum mechanics and general applied maths.＜/p＞画面が切り替わりますので、しばらくお待ち下さい。 ※ご購入は、楽天kobo商品ページからお願いします。※切り替わらない場合は、こちらをクリックして下さい。 ※このページからは注文できません。	8,580円
Machine Learning A Bayesian and Optimization Perspective【電子書籍】[ Sergios Theodoridis ] 楽天Kobo電子書籍ストア	＜p＞Machine Learning: A Bayesian and Optimization Perspective, 2nd edition, gives a unified perspective on machine learning by covering both pillars of supervised learning, namely regression and classification. The book starts with the basics, including mean square, least squares and maximum likelihood methods, ridge regression, Bayesian decision theory classification, logistic regression, and decision trees. It then progresses to more recent techniques, covering sparse modelling methods, learning in reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces and support vector machines, Bayesian inference with a focus on the EM algorithm and its approximate inference variational versions, Monte Carlo methods, probabilistic graphical models focusing on Bayesian networks, hidden Markov models and particle filtering. Dimensionality reduction and latent variables modelling are also considered in depth. This palette of techniques concludes with an extended chapter on neural networks and deep learning architectures. The book also covers the fundamentals of statistical parameter estimation, Wiener and Kalman filtering, convexity and convex optimization, including a chapter on stochastic approximation and the gradient descent family of algorithms, presenting related online learning techniques as well as concepts and algorithmic versions for distributed optimization. Focusing on the physical reasoning behind the mathematics, without sacrificing rigor, all the various methods and techniques are explained in depth, supported by examples and problems, giving an invaluable resource to the student and researcher for understanding and applying machine learning concepts. Most of the chapters include typical case studies and computer exercises, both in MATLAB and Python. The chapters are written to be as self-contained as possible, making the text suitable for different courses: pattern recognition, statistical/adaptive signal processing, statistical/Bayesian learning, as well as courses on sparse modeling, deep learning, and probabilistic graphical models. New to this edition: - Complete re-write of the chapter on Neural Networks and Deep Learning to reflect the latest advances since the 1st edition. The chapter, starting from the basic perceptron and feed-forward neural networks concepts, now presents an in depth treatment of deep networks, including recent optimization algorithms, batch normalization, regularization techniques such as the dropout method, convolutional neural networks, recurrent neural networks, attention mechanisms, adversarial examples and training, capsule networks and generative architectures, such as restricted Boltzman machines (RBMs), variational autoencoders and generative adversarial networks (GANs). - Expanded treatment of Bayesian learning to include nonparametric Bayesian methods, with a focus on the Chinese restaurant and the Indian buffet processes. - Presents the physical reasoning, mathematical modeling and algorithmic implementation of each method - Updates on the latest trends, including sparsity, convex analysis and optimization, online distributed algorithms, learning in RKH spaces, Bayesian inference, graphical and hidden Markov models, particle filtering, deep learning, dictionary learning and latent variables modeling - Provides case studies on a variety of topics, including protein folding prediction, optical character recognition, text authorship identification, fMRI data analysis, change point detection, hyperspectral image unmixing, target localization, and more＜/p＞画面が切り替わりますので、しばらくお待ち下さい。 ※ご購入は、楽天kobo商品ページからお願いします。※切り替わらない場合は、こちらをクリックして下さい。 ※このページからは注文できません。	11,103円
The Russia?Ukraine War and Its Implications on Central Asia Resilience, Connectivity, and Decolonization【電子書籍】[ Assylzat Karabayeva ] 楽天Kobo電子書籍ストア	＜p＞＜em＞The Russia?Ukraine War and its Implications for Central Asia: Resilience, Connectivity, and Decolonization＜/em＞ embarks on a comprehensive exploration of the profound impacts of the Ukraine conflict on Central Asia, viewed through the prism of the region's scholars. This book assesses the geopolitical transformation, economic shifts, and the evolving narratives of national and regional identities, underpinned by thirty years of nation-building and current socio-economic realities. This collection critically navigates between the dual forces of emerging expectations for change, decolonization, and the strong undercurrents of path dependence and local socio-economic constraints. Furthermore, it provides a nuanced examination of the intricate relationships between state, society, and media, illustrating how these dynamics are reshaped in the face of the war’s ongoing impact. Through a balanced perspective, this volume unveils an emerging vision of Central Asia, marked by resilience and a strategic quest for a more pronounced role in global affairs. This work stands as a crucial resource for understanding the multifaceted consequences of the Ukraine-Russia conflict on Central Asia, enriched by authentic, regional voices.＜/p＞画面が切り替わりますので、しばらくお待ち下さい。 ※ご購入は、楽天kobo商品ページからお願いします。※切り替わらない場合は、こちらをクリックして下さい。 ※このページからは注文できません。	12,333円
Bayesian Models of Perception and Action An Introduction【電子書籍】[ Wei Ji Ma ] 楽天Kobo電子書籍ストア	＜p＞＜strong＞An accessible introduction to constructing and interpreting Bayesian models of perceptual decision-making and action.＜/strong＞＜/p＞＜p＞Many forms of perception and action can be mathematically modeled as probabilisticーor Bayesianーinference, a method used to draw conclusions from uncertain evidence. According to these models, the human mind behaves like a capable data scientist or crime scene investigator when dealing with noisy and ambiguous data. This textbook provides an approachable introduction to constructing and reasoning with probabilistic models of perceptual decision-making and action. Featuring extensive examples and illustrations, ＜em＞Bayesian Models of Perception and Action＜/em＞ is the first textbook to teach this widely used computational framework to beginners.＜/p＞＜ul＞＜li＞Introduces Bayesian models of perception and action, which are central to cognitive science and neuroscience＜/li＞＜li＞Beginner-friendly pedagogy includes intuitive examples, daily life illustrations, and gradual progression of complex concepts＜/li＞＜li＞Broad appeal for students across psychology, neuroscience, cognitive science, linguistics, and mathematics＜/li＞＜li＞Written by leaders in the field of computational approaches to mind and brain＜/li＞＜/ul＞画面が切り替わりますので、しばらくお待ち下さい。 ※ご購入は、楽天kobo商品ページからお願いします。※切り替わらない場合は、こちらをクリックして下さい。 ※このページからは注文できません。	8,465円
Bayesian Analysis with Python Introduction to statistical modeling and probabilistic programming using PyMC3 and ArviZ, 2nd Edition【電子書籍】[ Osvaldo Martin ] 楽天Kobo電子書籍ストア	＜p＞＜strong＞Bayesian modeling with PyMC3 and exploratory analysis of Bayesian models with ArviZ＜/strong＞＜/p＞＜h4＞Key Features＜/h4＞＜ul＞＜li＞A step-by-step guide to conduct Bayesian data analyses using PyMC3 and ArviZ＜/li＞＜li＞A modern, practical and computational approach to Bayesian statistical modeling＜/li＞＜li＞A tutorial for Bayesian analysis and best practices with the help of sample problems and practice exercises.＜/li＞＜/ul＞＜h4＞Book Description＜/h4＞＜p＞The second edition of Bayesian Analysis with Python is an introduction to the main concepts of applied Bayesian inference and its practical implementation in Python using PyMC3, a state-of-the-art probabilistic programming library, and ArviZ, a new library for exploratory analysis of Bayesian models.＜/p＞＜p＞The main concepts of Bayesian statistics are covered using a practical and computational approach. Synthetic and real data sets are used to introduce several types of models, such as generalized linear models for regression and classification, mixture models, hierarchical models, and Gaussian processes, among others.＜/p＞＜p＞By the end of the book, you will have a working knowledge of probabilistic modeling and you will be able to design and implement Bayesian models for your own data science problems. After reading the book you will be better prepared to delve into more advanced material or specialized statistical modeling if you need to.＜/p＞＜h4＞What you will learn＜/h4＞＜ul＞＜li＞Build probabilistic models using the Python library PyMC3＜/li＞＜li＞Analyze probabilistic models with the help of ArviZ＜/li＞＜li＞Acquire the skills required to sanity check models and modify them if necessary＜/li＞＜li＞Understand the advantages and caveats of hierarchical models＜/li＞＜li＞Find out how different models can be used to answer different data analysis questions＜/li＞＜li＞Compare models and choose between alternative ones＜/li＞＜li＞Discover how different models are unified from a probabilistic perspective＜/li＞＜li＞Think probabilistically and benefit from the flexibility of the Bayesian framework＜/li＞＜/ul＞＜h4＞Who this book is for＜/h4＞＜p＞If you are a student, data scientist, researcher, or a developer looking to get started with Bayesian data analysis and probabilistic programming, this book is for you. The book is introductory so no previous statistical knowledge is required, although some experience in using Python and NumPy is expected.＜/p＞画面が切り替わりますので、しばらくお待ち下さい。 ※ご購入は、楽天kobo商品ページからお願いします。※切り替わらない場合は、こちらをクリックして下さい。 ※このページからは注文できません。	4,981円
Bayesian Statistical Modeling with Stan, R, and Python【電子書籍】[ Kentaro Matsuura ] 楽天Kobo電子書籍ストア	＜p＞This book provides a highly practical introduction to Bayesian statistical modeling with Stan, which has become the most popular probabilistic programming language.＜/p＞＜p＞The book is divided into four parts. The first part reviews the theoretical background of modeling and Bayesian inference and presents a modeling workflow that makes modeling more engineering than art. The second part discusses the use of Stan, CmdStanR, and CmdStanPy from the very beginning to basic regression analyses. The third part then introduces a number of probability distributions, nonlinear models, and hierarchical (multilevel) models, which are essential to mastering statistical modeling. It also describes a wide range of frequently used modeling techniques, such as censoring, outliers, missing data, speed-up, and parameter constraints, and discusses how to lead convergence of MCMC. Lastly, the fourth part examines advanced topics for real-world data: longitudinal data analysis, state space models, spatial data analysis, Gaussian processes, Bayesian optimization, dimensionality reduction, model selection, and information criteria, demonstrating that Stan can solve any one of these problems in as little as 30 lines.＜/p＞＜p＞Using numerous easy-to-understand examples, the book explains key concepts, which continue to be useful when using future versions of Stan and when using other statistical modeling tools. The examples do not require domain knowledge and can be generalized to many fields. The book presents full explanations of code and math formulas, enabling readers to extend models for their own problems. All the code and data are on GitHub.＜/p＞画面が切り替わりますので、しばらくお待ち下さい。 ※ご購入は、楽天kobo商品ページからお願いします。※切り替わらない場合は、こちらをクリックして下さい。 ※このページからは注文できません。	18,231円
Bayesian Nonparametrics for Causal Inference and Missing Data【電子書籍】[ Michael J. Daniels ] 楽天Kobo電子書籍ストア	＜p＞＜strong＞Bayesian Nonparametrics for Causal Inference and Missing Data＜/strong＞ provides an overview of flexible Bayesian nonparametric (BNP) methods for modeling joint or conditional distributions and functional relationships, and their interplay with causal inference and missing data. This book emphasizes the importance of making untestable assumptions to identify estimands of interest, such as missing at random assumption for missing data and unconfoundedness for causal inference in observational studies. Unlike parametric methods, the BNP approach can account for possible violations of assumptions and minimize concerns about model misspecification. The overall strategy is to first specify BNP models for observed data and then to specify additional uncheckable assumptions to identify estimands of interest.＜/p＞＜p＞The book is divided into three parts. ＜strong＞Part I＜/strong＞ develops the key concepts in causal inference and missing data and reviews relevant concepts in Bayesian inference. ＜strong＞Part II＜/strong＞ introduces the fundamental BNP tools required to address causal inference and missing data problems. ＜strong＞Part III＜/strong＞ shows how the BNP approach can be applied in a variety of case studies. The datasets in the case studies come from electronic health records data, survey data, cohort studies, and randomized clinical trials.＜/p＞＜p＞Features＜/p＞＜p＞? Thorough discussion of both BNP and its interplay with causal inference and missing data＜/p＞＜p＞? How to use BNP and g-computation for causal inference and non-ignorable missingness＜/p＞＜p＞? How to derive and calibrate sensitivity parameters to assess sensitivity to deviations from uncheckable causal and/or missingness assumptions＜/p＞＜p＞? Detailed case studies illustrating the application of BNP methods to causal inference and missing data＜/p＞＜p＞? R code and/or packages to implement BNP in causal inference and missing data problems＜/p＞＜p＞The book is primarily aimed at researchers and graduate students from statistics and biostatistics. It will also serve as a useful practical reference for mathematically sophisticated epidemiologists and medical researchers.＜/p＞画面が切り替わりますので、しばらくお待ち下さい。 ※ご購入は、楽天kobo商品ページからお願いします。※切り替わらない場合は、こちらをクリックして下さい。 ※このページからは注文できません。	11,396円
Bayesian Statistics and Marketing【電子書籍】[ Peter E. Rossi ] 楽天Kobo電子書籍ストア	＜p＞＜strong＞Fine-tune your marketing research with this cutting-edge statistical toolkit＜/strong＞＜/p＞＜p＞＜em＞Bayesian Statistics and Marketing＜/em＞ illustrates the potential for applying a Bayesian approach to some of the most challenging and important problems in marketing. Analyzing household and consumer data, predicting product performance, and custom-targeting campaigns are only a few of the areas in which Bayesian approaches promise revolutionary results. This book provides a comprehensive, accessible overview of this subject essential for any statistically informed marketing researcher or practitioner.＜/p＞＜p＞Economists and other social scientists will find a comprehensive treatment of many Bayesian methods that are central to the problems in social science more generally. This includes a practical approach to computationally challenging problems in random coefficient models, non-parametrics, and the problems of endogeneity.＜/p＞＜p＞Readers of the second edition of ＜em＞Bayesian Statistics and Marketing＜/em＞ will also find:＜/p＞＜ul＞＜li＞Discussion of Bayesian methods in text analysis and Machine Learning＜/li＞＜li＞Updates throughout reflecting the latest research and applications＜/li＞＜li＞Discussion of modern statistical software, including an introduction to the R package bayesm, which implements all models incorporated here＜/li＞＜li＞Extensive case studies throughout to link theory and practice＜/li＞＜/ul＞＜p＞＜em＞Bayesian Statistics and Marketing＜/em＞ is ideal for advanced students and researchers in marketing, business, and economics departments, as well as for any statistically savvy marketing practitioner.＜/p＞画面が切り替わりますので、しばらくお待ち下さい。 ※ご購入は、楽天kobo商品ページからお願いします。※切り替わらない場合は、こちらをクリックして下さい。 ※このページからは注文できません。	13,947円
Statistical Rethinking A Bayesian Course with Examples in R and STAN【電子書籍】[ Richard McElreath ] 楽天Kobo電子書籍ストア	＜p＞＜strong＞Winner of the 2024 De Groot Prize awarded by the International Society for Bayesian Analysis (ISBA)＜/strong＞＜/p＞＜p＞＜strong＞Statistical Rethinking: A Bayesian Course with Examples in R and Stan＜/strong＞ builds your knowledge of and confidence in making inferences from data. Reflecting the need for scripting in today's model-based statistics, the book pushes you to perform step-by-step calculations that are usually automated. This unique computational approach ensures that you understand enough of the details to make reasonable choices and interpretations in your own modeling work.＜/p＞＜p＞The text presents causal inference and generalized linear multilevel models from a simple Bayesian perspective that builds on information theory and maximum entropy. The core material ranges from the basics of regression to advanced multilevel models. It also presents measurement error, missing data, and Gaussian process models for spatial and phylogenetic confounding.＜/p＞＜p＞The second edition emphasizes the directed acyclic graph (DAG) approach to causal inference, integrating DAGs into many examples. The new edition also contains new material on the design of prior distributions, splines, ordered categorical predictors, social relations models, cross-validation, importance sampling, instrumental variables, and Hamiltonian Monte Carlo. It ends with an entirely new chapter that goes beyond generalized linear modeling, showing how domain-specific scientific models can be built into statistical analyses.＜/p＞＜p＞＜strong＞Features＜/strong＞＜/p＞＜ul＞＜li＞＜p＞Integrates working code into the main text.＜/p＞＜/li＞＜li＞＜p＞Illustrates concepts through worked data analysis examples.＜/p＞＜/li＞＜li＞＜p＞Emphasizes understanding assumptions and how assumptions are reflected in code.＜/p＞＜/li＞＜li＞＜p＞Offers more detailed explanations of the mathematics in optional sections.＜/p＞＜/li＞＜li＞＜p＞Presents examples of using the dagitty R package to analyze causal graphs.＜/p＞＜p＞Provides the rethinking R package on the author's website and on GitHub.＜/p＞＜/li＞＜/ul＞画面が切り替わりますので、しばらくお待ち下さい。 ※ご購入は、楽天kobo商品ページからお願いします。※切り替わらない場合は、こちらをクリックして下さい。 ※このページからは注文できません。	17,910円
Understanding Computational Bayesian Statistics【電子書籍】[ William M. Bolstad ] 楽天Kobo電子書籍ストア	＜p＞＜strong＞A hands-on introduction to computational statistics＜/strong＞＜strong＞from a Bayesian point of view＜/strong＞＜/p＞＜p＞Providing a solid grounding in statistics while uniquely covering the topics from a Bayesian perspective, ＜em＞Understanding Computational Bayesian Statistics＜/em＞ successfully guides readers through this new, cutting-edge approach. With its hands-on treatment of the topic, the book shows how samples can be drawn from the posterior distribution when the formula giving its shape is all that is known, and how Bayesian inferences can be based on these samples from the posterior. These ideas are illustrated on common statistical models, including the multiple linear regression model, the hierarchical mean model, the logistic regression model, and the proportional hazards model.＜/p＞＜p＞The book begins with an outline of the similarities and differences between Bayesian and the likelihood approaches to statistics. Subsequent chapters present key techniques for using computer software to draw Monte Carlo samples from the incompletely known posterior distribution and performing the Bayesian inference calculated from these samples. Topics of coverage include:＜/p＞＜ul＞＜li＞Direct ways to draw a random sample from the posterior by reshaping a random sample drawn from an easily sampled starting distribution＜/li＞＜li＞The distributions from the one-dimensional exponential family＜/li＞＜li＞Markov chains and their long-run behavior＜/li＞＜li＞The Metropolis-Hastings algorithm＜/li＞＜li＞Gibbs sampling algorithm and methods for speeding up convergence＜/li＞＜li＞Markov chain Monte Carlo sampling＜/li＞＜/ul＞＜p＞Using numerous graphs and diagrams, the author emphasizes a step-by-step approach to computational Bayesian statistics. At each step, important aspects of application are detailed, such as how to choose a prior for logistic regression model, the Poisson regression model, and the proportional hazards model. A related Web site houses R functions and Minitab macros for Bayesian analysis and Monte Carlo simulations, and detailed appendices in the book guide readers through the use of these software packages.＜/p＞＜p＞＜em＞Understanding Computational Bayesian Statistics＜/em＞ is an excellent book for courses on computational statistics at the upper-level undergraduate and graduate levels. It is also a valuable reference for researchers and practitioners who use computer programs to conduct statistical analyses of data and solve problems in their everyday work.＜/p＞画面が切り替わりますので、しばらくお待ち下さい。 ※ご購入は、楽天kobo商品ページからお願いします。※切り替わらない場合は、こちらをクリックして下さい。 ※このページからは注文できません。	19,327円
Bayesian Data Analysis【電子書籍】[ Andrew Gelman ] 楽天Kobo電子書籍ストア	＜p＞Winner of the 2016 De Groot Prize from the International Society for Bayesian AnalysisNow in its third edition, this classic book is widely considered the leading text on Bayesian methods, lauded for its accessible, practical approach to analyzing data and solving research problems. Bayesian Data Analysis, Third Edition continues to take an applied＜/p＞画面が切り替わりますので、しばらくお待ち下さい。 ※ご購入は、楽天kobo商品ページからお願いします。※切り替わらない場合は、こちらをクリックして下さい。 ※このページからは注文できません。	17,910円
Bayesian Disease Mapping Hierarchical Modeling in Spatial Epidemiology, Third Edition【電子書籍】[ Andrew B. Lawson ] 楽天Kobo電子書籍ストア	＜p＞Since the publication of the second edition, many new Bayesian tools and methods have been developed for space-time data analysis, the predictive modeling of health outcomes, and other spatial biostatistical areas. Exploring these new developments, ＜strong＞Bayesian Disease Mapping: Hierarchical Modeling in Spatial Epidemiology, Third Edition＜/strong＞ provides an up-to-date, cohesive account of the full range of Bayesian disease mapping methods and applications.＜/p＞＜p＞In addition to the new material, the book also covers more conventional areas such as relative risk estimation, clustering, spatial survival analysis, and longitudinal analysis. After an introduction to Bayesian inference, computation, and model assessment, the text focuses on important themes, including disease map reconstruction, cluster detection, regression and ecological analysis, putative hazard modeling, analysis of multiple scales and multiple diseases, spatial survival and longitudinal studies, spatiotemporal methods, and map surveillance. It shows how Bayesian disease mapping can yield significant insights into georeferenced health data.＜/p＞＜p＞The target audience for this text is public health specialists, epidemiologists, and biostatisticians who need to work with geo-referenced health data.＜/p＞画面が切り替わりますので、しばらくお待ち下さい。 ※ご購入は、楽天kobo商品ページからお願いします。※切り替わらない場合は、こちらをクリックして下さい。 ※このページからは注文できません。	10,908円
Black Cosmopolitanism and Anticolonialism Pivotal Moments【電子書籍】[ Babacar M'Baye ] 楽天Kobo電子書籍ストア	＜p＞This book examines the cosmopolitanism and anticolonialism that black intellectuals, such as the African American W.E.B. Du Bois, the Caribbeans Marcus Garvey and George Padmore, and the Francophone West Africans (Kojo Touvalou-Hou?nou, Lamine Senghor, and L?opold S?dar Senghor) developed during the two world wars by fighting for freedom, equality, and justice for Senegalese and other West African colonial soldiers (known as ＜em＞tirailleurs＜/em＞) who made enormous sacrifices to liberate France from German oppression.＜/p＞＜p＞Focusing on the solidarity between this special group of African American, Caribbean, and Francophone West African intellectuals against French colonialism, this book uncovers pivotal moments of black Anglophone and Francophone cosmopolitanism and traces them to published and archived writings produced between 1914 and the middle of the twentieth century.＜/p＞画面が切り替わりますので、しばらくお待ち下さい。 ※ご購入は、楽天kobo商品ページからお願いします。※切り替わらない場合は、こちらをクリックして下さい。 ※このページからは注文できません。	11,884円
Africa and its Historical and Contemporary Diasporas【電子書籍】[ Babacar M`Baye ] 楽天Kobo電子書籍ストア	＜p＞Africa and its Historical and Contemporary Diasporas edited by Tunde Adeleke and Arno Sonderegger is an interdisciplinary study of the changing and complex nature of the Africa-Black Diaspora relationship. The contributors highlight the problems and challenges of this relationship and provide strategies for developing a more functional and mutually beneficial engagement in a radically changing global environment. This book presents new methodological approaches and research to study the many dimensions and complexities of Africa and its Diasporas. Collectively, this book addresses three vital themes. First, it foregrounds new and emerging forces reshaping the Africa-Black Diaspora nexus. Second, it highlights new and interdisciplinary approaches to “Diaspora” and “Pan-Africanism” (culture, religion, ideology, literature, philosophy, and epistemology). Third, it examines factors infusing the transformation in, and challenges of, African Diaspora and Pan-Africanist collaborations, and possible strategies of strengthening the relationship.＜/p＞画面が切り替わりますので、しばらくお待ち下さい。 ※ご購入は、楽天kobo商品ページからお願いします。※切り替わらない場合は、こちらをクリックして下さい。 ※このページからは注文できません。	10,793円
Bayesian Optimization and Data Science【電子書籍】[ Francesco Archetti ] 楽天Kobo電子書籍ストア	＜p＞This volume brings together the main results in the field of Bayesian Optimization (BO), focusing on the last ten years and showing how, on the basic framework, new methods have been specialized to solve emerging problems from machine learning, artificial intelligence, and system optimization. It also analyzes the software resources available for BO and a few selected application areas. Some areas for which new results are shown include constrained optimization, safe optimization, and applied mathematics, specifically BO's use in solving difficult nonlinear mixed integer problems.＜/p＞＜p＞The book will help bring readers to a full understanding of the basic Bayesian Optimization framework and gain an appreciation of its potential for emerging application areas. It will be of particular interest to the data science, computer science, optimization, and engineering communities.＜/p＞画面が切り替わりますので、しばらくお待ち下さい。 ※ご購入は、楽天kobo商品ページからお願いします。※切り替わらない場合は、こちらをクリックして下さい。 ※このページからは注文できません。	7,900円
Milk and Honey A World War II Biographical Family Saga【電子書籍】[ Gregory J. Bayer ] 楽天Kobo電子書籍ストア	＜p＞When an inexperienced soldier and local young woman have a serendipitous meeting during the most turbulent time in 20th century Germany, their son, Erich, is forced to grow up in a war-torn country. As he grows, anger and bitterness seeps from the chaotic streets into Erich's childhood home. He faces numerous challenges such as being born to an unwed mother, foraging for food, water and heat while navigating the dangers of battle externally and internally, exposing the desperation and perils of surviving on a daily basis.＜/p＞＜p＞In the end, teenaged Erich jumps at the opportunity to emigrate to America. Quickly, he realizes that the change in residence doesn't necessarily mean totally leaving Germany behind as he is embraced by a group of expats. Ironically, soon thereafter, given his appreciation for the American GI, he enlisted in the U.S. Army and stationed back in Germany.＜/p＞＜p＞Filled with fascinating and heartbreaking details of a war-scarred Germany, Erich's story reveals harsh life lessons about growing up, survival, and how eventually life arises from the ashes.＜/p＞画面が切り替わりますので、しばらくお待ち下さい。 ※ご購入は、楽天kobo商品ページからお願いします。※切り替わらない場合は、こちらをクリックして下さい。 ※このページからは注文できません。	691円
At Bay Enriched edition. Secrets and Deception: A Victorian Tale of Betrayal and Intrigue【電子書籍】[ Mrs. Alexander ] 楽天Kobo電子書籍ストア	＜p＞In "At Bay," Mrs. Alexander presents a compelling narrative that interweaves elements of romantic fiction and social commentary, reflecting the complexities of human relationships in a rapidly changing society. Set against the backdrop of Victorian England, the novel delves into themes of love, sacrifice, and the moral dilemmas faced by individuals in a rigid social hierarchy. Alexander's prose is characterized by its vivid descriptions and insightful characterizations, creating an immersive reading experience that captures both the emotional and societal tensions of the time. The intricate interplay of characters reveals the author's keen understanding of human psychology and societal norms. Mrs. Alexander, a writer of notable repute in the late 19th century, was influenced by her own experiences in a patriarchal society that often constrained women's roles. Her literary career flourished during a time when women's voices began to gain importance in literature. Drawing from her observations and personal convictions, Alexander skillfully crafted her narratives to both entertain and provoke thought, challenging contemporary readers to reconsider traditional values regarding gender and class. "At Bay" is a must-read for those who appreciate rich storytelling intertwined with poignant social critique. It invites readers to explore the intricacies of personal choice amidst societal pressures, making it not just a tale of love but a reflection on the constraints that define human existence. For anyone interested in Victorian literature or the evolution of the female voice in fiction, this novel serves as an enlightening and engaging addition to the literary canon. In this enriched edition, we have carefully created added value for your reading experience: - A succinct Introduction situates the work's timeless appeal and themes. - The Synopsis outlines the central plot, highlighting key developments without spoiling critical twists. - A detailed Historical Context immerses you in the era's events and influences that shaped the writing. - A thorough Analysis dissects symbols, motifs, and character arcs to unearth underlying meanings. - Reflection questions prompt you to engage personally with the work's messages, connecting them to modern life. - Handーpicked Memorable Quotes shine a spotlight on moments of literary brilliance. - Interactive footnotes clarify unusual references, historical allusions, and archaic phrases for an effortless, more informed read.＜/p＞画面が切り替わりますので、しばらくお待ち下さい。 ※ご購入は、楽天kobo商品ページからお願いします。※切り替わらない場合は、こちらをクリックして下さい。 ※このページからは注文できません。	150円
Portraits of Remembrance Painting, Memory, and the First World War【電子書籍】[ Martin Bayer ] 楽天Kobo電子書籍ストア	＜p＞＜strong＞Interdisciplinary collection of essays on fine art painting as it relates to the First World War and commemoration of the conflict＜/strong＞＜/p＞＜p＞Although photography and moving pictures achieved ubiquity during the First World War as technological means of recording history, the far more traditional medium of painting played a vital role in the visual culture of combatant nations. The public’s appetite for the kind of up-close frontline action that snapshots and film footage could not yet provide resulted in a robust market for drawn or painted battle scenes.＜/p＞＜p＞Painting also figured significantly in the formation of collective war memory after the armistice. Paintings became sites of memory in two ways: first, many governments and communities invested in freestanding panoramas or cycloramas that depicted the war or featured murals as components of even larger commemorative projects, and second, certain paintings, whether created by official artists or simply by those moved to do so, emerged over time as visual touchstones in the public’s understanding of the war.＜/p＞＜p＞＜em＞Portraits of Remembrance: Painting, Memory, and the First World War＜/em＞ examines the relationship between war painting and collective memory in Australia, Austria, Belgium, Canada, Croatia, France, Germany, Great Britain, New Zealand, Russia, Serbia, Turkey, and the United States. The paintings discussed vary tremendously, ranging from public murals and panoramas to works on a far more intimate scale, including modernist masterpieces and crowd-pleasing expressions of sentimentality or spiritualism. Contributors raise a host of topics in connection with the volume’s overarching focus on memory, including national identity, constructions of gender, historical accuracy, issues of aesthetic taste, and connections between painting and literature, as well as other cultural forms.＜/p＞画面が切り替わりますので、しばらくお待ち下さい。 ※ご購入は、楽天kobo商品ページからお願いします。※切り替わらない場合は、こちらをクリックして下さい。 ※このページからは注文できません。	8,140円
Nightmares and Fantasies, Oh My! Someones Going to Die Love in Mysterious Ways【電子書籍】[ Willow Bayes ] 楽天Kobo電子書籍ストア	＜p＞A beautiful, intelligent young girl begins her life journey through a chronic, reoccuring nightmare. The Lion with the White mane chases her through the same path of tall grass, timbers, thorns and shrubs until she reaches a small structure where she takes refuge. The nightmare won't go away. By the time she's 23 and in collge, the Lion has drained her spirit and will to go on. We must extinguish the Lion, hence ridding her of this horrifying nightmare. It has disabled her made her unable to feel any joy or hope for the life she deserves. The full moon rises, the breezes blow and finally, this woman by the age of 26 is able to learn the meaning of the great Lion nightmare. It leaves her finally. Any yet, she suddenly finds herself in another nightmare that she herself has created. Her love in life was replaced with lust and sexual encounters. Her desires went from finding the great man of her dreams to becoming most mens' last dream. Lust, revenge, sex, death, and no end in sight, the full moon shines on and the breezes keep blowing.＜/p＞画面が切り替わりますので、しばらくお待ち下さい。 ※ご購入は、楽天kobo商品ページからお願いします。※切り替わらない場合は、こちらをクリックして下さい。 ※このページからは注文できません。	552円
Directionality and Logical Form On the Scope of Focusing Particles and Wh-in-situ【電子書籍】[ Josef Bayer ] 楽天Kobo電子書籍ストア	＜p＞＜em＞Directionality and Logical Form＜/em＞ provides a detailed treatment of the syntax of focusing particles, such as ＜em＞only＜/em＞ and ＜em＞even＜/em＞ in a cross-linguistic perspective. The derivation of logical forms is shown to be under the control, not only of the ECP and subjacency, but also of directionality of government and the particular word-order parameter that holds in a given language: head-final languages systematically disallow certain derivations or readings that are available in head-initial languages. The reason is that heads that deviate in their selection properties from canonical head-finality project a directionality barrier. Various strategies are explored by which this barrier can be circumvented. Although the theory is developed mainly on the basis of the head position in German, it can be directly used to explain constraints on the scope of Wh-in-situ in Bengali and closely related languages.＜br /＞＜em＞Audience:＜/em＞ Syntacticians and semanticists interested in parametric variation, as well as linguists working on Germanic and/or Indo-Aryan languages.＜/p＞画面が切り替わりますので、しばらくお待ち下さい。 ※ご購入は、楽天kobo商品ページからお願いします。※切り替わらない場合は、こちらをクリックして下さい。 ※このページからは注文できません。	18,231円
Private Autonomy in EU Internal Market Law Parameters of its Protection and Limitation【電子書籍】[ Rufat Babayev ] 楽天Kobo電子書籍ストア	＜p＞＜strong＞Ambitious and innovative, this important study offers a fresh perspective on the normative framework of the EU's internal market.＜/strong＞＜/p＞＜p＞The book explores the place of the ideals of private autonomy in the EU's legal order. Indeed, it goes further to explore the parameters of their protection within both its legal and regulatory framework. Looking at the coexistence of, and interaction between, varying expressions of private autonomy, it offers a comprehensive review of the protection of private autonomy at the normative core of the internal market. The book also explores the layers of limitations and conditions imposed on the exercise of private autonomy that generate legal tensions and conflicting forces.＜/p＞＜p＞In addition to plotting a systematic approach to the question, the book introduces a new framework for better understanding the correlation between the free movement and competition law regimes and the fundamental economic rights protected in the Charter.＜/p＞画面が切り替わりますので、しばらくお待ち下さい。 ※ご購入は、楽天kobo商品ページからお願いします。※切り替わらない場合は、こちらをクリックして下さい。 ※このページからは注文できません。	7,217円
By-Ways of Bombay Enriched edition. Unveiling Bombay's Cultural Tapestry: Exploring Hidden Alleys and Diverse Communities in Early 20th Century Mumbai【電子書籍】[ S. M. Edwardes ] 楽天Kobo電子書籍ストア	＜p＞In "By-Ways of Bombay," S. M. Edwardes embarks on a captivating exploration of the multifaceted urban landscape of Bombay (now Mumbai) during the early 20th century. Through rich, evocative prose, Edwardes captures the vibrant cultures, social dynamics, and hidden gems of this bustling metropolis, delving into the lives of its diverse inhabitants. The work stands out for its immersive descriptions and insightful commentary, revealing not only the daily life of the city but also the intricate historical layers that define Bombay's identity, weaving a narrative that is both informative and poignant. S. M. Edwardes was a keen observer of society and culture, a perspective likely shaped by his experiences living in the rapidly modernizing city. His background in journalism furnished him with the skills to articulate complex social themes while invoking a sense of nostalgia and reverence for the past. Edwardes' deep appreciation for Bombay's ethos shines throughout the text, as he intertwines personal anecdotes with broader social commentary, highlighting the pressing issues of his time alongside the charm of the city's by-ways. "By-Ways of Bombay" is a must-read for scholars, historians, and travelers alike, offering a unique window into a city rich with history and diversity. Edwardes' work resonates with the contemporary reader, inviting them to reflect on the ever-changing urban experiences and the stories waiting to be uncovered in the veins of Bombay. In this enriched edition, we have carefully created added value for your reading experience: - Handーpicked Memorable Quotes shine a spotlight on moments of literary brilliance. - Interactive footnotes clarify unusual references, historical allusions, and archaic phrases for an effortless, more informed read.＜/p＞画面が切り替わりますので、しばらくお待ち下さい。 ※ご購入は、楽天kobo商品ページからお願いします。※切り替わらない場合は、こちらをクリックして下さい。 ※このページからは注文できません。	150円
Origins and Formation of Kazakhs’ Jeweler’s Art National Kazakh jewellery【電子書籍】[ Shaizada Tokhtabayeva ] 楽天Kobo電子書籍ストア	＜p＞The book contains a lot of coloured illustrations, reflecting the exotic grandeur of the national Kazakh jewellery art of the eighteenth and twentieth centuries from the fund of RK State Museum 0f Arts named after A. Kasteev. It sets out the origins, symbolism and artistic features of jewellery, which has been studied by the author for the last 20 years.＜/p＞画面が切り替わりますので、しばらくお待ち下さい。 ※ご購入は、楽天kobo商品ページからお願いします。※切り替わらない場合は、こちらをクリックして下さい。 ※このページからは注文できません。	1,301円
Thriving Amidst Challenges A Guide to Starting and Scaling a Business in a Depleting Economy【電子書籍】[ Folakemi Havilah Gbayesola ] 楽天Kobo電子書籍ストア	＜p＞Are you struggling to navigate the challenges of starting and scaling a microbusiness in a depleting economy?＜/p＞＜p＞Gain access to invaluable knowledge and strategies that have helped countless entrepreneurs thrive even in the toughest economic conditions.＜/p＞＜p＞Gain insights into market trends, adapt your business model, and discover creative ways to grow your microbusiness during downturns.＜/p＞画面が切り替わりますので、しばらくお待ち下さい。 ※ご購入は、楽天kobo商品ページからお願いします。※切り替わらない場合は、こちらをクリックして下さい。 ※このページからは注文できません。	3,582円
Bayesian Multilevel Models for Repeated Measures Data A Conceptual and Practical Introduction in R【電子書籍】[ Santiago Barreda ] 楽天Kobo電子書籍ストア	＜p＞This comprehensive book is an introduction to multilevel Bayesian models in R using brms and the Stan programming language. Featuring a series of fully worked analyses of repeated measures data, the focus is placed on active learning through the analyses of the progressively more complicated models presented throughout the book.＜/p＞＜p＞In this book, the authors offer an introduction to statistics entirely focused on repeated measures data beginning with very simple two-group comparisons and ending with multinomial regression models with many ‘random effects’. Across 13 well-structured chapters, readers are provided with all the code necessary to run all the analyses and make all the plots in the book, as well as useful examples of how to interpret and write up their own analyses.＜/p＞＜p＞This book provides an accessible introduction for readers in any field, with any level of statistical background. Senior undergraduate students, graduate students, and experienced researchers looking to ‘translate’ their skills with more traditional models to a Bayesian framework will benefit greatly from the lessons in this text.＜/p＞画面が切り替わりますので、しばらくお待ち下さい。 ※ご購入は、楽天kobo商品ページからお願いします。※切り替わらない場合は、こちらをクリックして下さい。 ※このページからは注文できません。	11,396円
Bayesian Tensor Decomposition for Signal Processing and Machine Learning Modeling, Tuning-Free Algorithms, and Applications【電子書籍】[ Lei Cheng ] 楽天Kobo電子書籍ストア	＜p＞This book presents recent advances of Bayesian inference in structured tensor decompositions. It explains how Bayesian modeling and inference lead to tuning-free tensor decomposition algorithms, which achieve state-of-the-art performances in many applications, including＜/p＞＜ul＞＜li＞blind source separation;＜/li＞＜li＞social network mining;＜/li＞＜li＞image and video processing;＜/li＞＜li＞array signal processing; and,＜/li＞＜li＞wireless communications.＜/li＞＜/ul＞＜p＞The book begins with an introduction to the general topics of tensors and Bayesian theories. It then discusses probabilistic models of various structured tensor decompositions and their inference algorithms, with applications tailored for each tensor decomposition presented in the corresponding chapters. The book concludes by looking to the future, and areas where this research can be further developed.＜/p＞＜p＞Bayesian Tensor Decomposition for Signal Processing and Machine Learning is suitable for postgraduates and researchers with interests in tensor data analytics and Bayesian methods.＜/p＞画面が切り替わりますので、しばらくお待ち下さい。 ※ご購入は、楽天kobo商品ページからお願いします。※切り替わらない場合は、こちらをクリックして下さい。 ※このページからは注文できません。	15,800円