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Fooled by Randomness The Hidden Role of Chance in Life and in the Markets【電子書籍】[ Nassim Nicholas Taleb ]

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<p><strong><em>Fooled by Randomness</em> is a standalone book in Nassim Nicholas Taleb’s landmark Incerto series, an investigation of opacity, luck, uncertainty, probability, human error, risk, and decision-making in a world we don’t understand. The other books in the series are <em>The Black Swan, Antifragile, Skin in the Game,</em> and <em>The Bed of Procrustes</em>.</strong></p> <p><em>Fooled by Randomness</em> is the word-of-mouth sensation that will change the way you think about business and the world. Nassim Nicholas Taleb?veteran trader, renowned risk expert, polymathic scholar, erudite raconteur, and <em>New York Times</em> bestselling author of <em>The Black Swan</em>?has written a modern classic that turns on its head what we believe about luck and skill.</p> <p>This book is about luck?or more precisely, about how we perceive and deal with luck in life and business. Set against the backdrop of the most conspicuous forum in which luck is mistaken for skill?the world of trading?<em>Fooled by Randomness</em> provides captivating insight into one of the least understood factors in all our lives. Writing in an entertaining narrative style, the author tackles major intellectual issues related to the underestimation of the influence of happenstance on our lives.</p> <p>The book is populated with an array of characters, some of whom have grasped, in their own way, the significance of chance: the baseball legend Yogi Berra; the philosopher of knowledge Karl Popper; the ancient world’s wisest man, Solon; the modern financier George Soros; and the Greek voyager Odysseus. We also meet the fictional Nero, who seems to understand the role of randomness in his professional life but falls victim to his own superstitious foolishness.</p> <p>However, the most recognizable character of all remains unnamed?the lucky fool who happens to be in the right place at the right time?he embodies the “survival of the least fit.” Such individuals attract devoted followers who believe in their guru’s insights and methods. But no one can replicate what is obtained by chance.</p> <p>Are we capable of distinguishing the fortunate charlatan from the genuine visionary? Must we always try to uncover nonexistent messages in random events? It may be impossible to guard ourselves against the vagaries of the goddess Fortuna, but after reading <em>Fooled by Randomness</em> we can be a little better prepared.</p> <p>**Named by Fortune One of the Smartest Books of All Time</p> <p>A Financial Times Best Business Book of the Year**</p>画面が切り替わりますので、しばらくお待ち下さい。 ※ご購入は、楽天kobo商品ページからお願いします。※切り替わらない場合は、こちら をクリックして下さい。 ※このページからは注文できません。 2,506円

FOOLED BY RANDOMNESS(B) [ NASSIM NICHOLAS TALEB ]

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NASSIM NICHOLAS TALEB PENGUIN UK英語 多読 ナシーム・ニコラス・タレブ【在庫一掃】 2007 English イギリス ISBN:9780141031484 洋書 Business & SelfーCulture(ビジネス) Business & Economics 2,604円

Fooled by the Winners How Survivor Bias Deceives Us【電子書籍】[ David Lockwood ]

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<p><em>Fooled by the Winners</em> will change the way you think about the stock market, health care, global warming, diets, lotteries, restaurants, and your siblings. It will reshape your perspective of the past and give you a clearer view of the future.</p> <p><em>Fooled by the Winners</em> is a book about survivor bias, the cognitive error of focusing on the winners, the successes, and the living. But in many instances, we can learn more from those who have lost, failed, or died.</p> <p>After reading this book, you will understand how survivor bias is often used to deceive us. You will learn how to stop paying for financial services that promise more than they deliver, for health care that doesn’t make us healthier, for diets that don’t make us slimmer, and for advice books that don’t offer good advice. You will also come away with a different view of our past, including our perilous evolutionary journey and how history has often been written by the winners. You will come to understand how we are fooled by the winners in warfare, such as in the deployment of nuclear weapons and the most famous example of survivor biasーthe missing Allied bombers of WWII.</p> <p>Previous studies of survivor bias have been inaccessible to most, housed in formula-laden statistical journals. But you won’t find any math or technical jargon here. David Lockwood, a former member of the faculty of the Graduate School of Business at Stanford University, applies the concept of survivor bias to specific, real-world examplesーminus the equations.</p> <p>Through compelling analysis and the real-life stories, this book demonstrates the deceptive influence of survivor bias in our daily lives and on our thinking.</p>画面が切り替わりますので、しばらくお待ち下さい。 ※ご購入は、楽天kobo商品ページからお願いします。※切り替わらない場合は、こちら をクリックして下さい。 ※このページからは注文できません。 1,288円

Fooled by Randomness: The Hidden Role of Chance in Life and in the Markets FOOLED BY RANDOMNESS (Incerto) [ Nassim Nicholas Taleb ]

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FOOLED BY RANDOMNESS Incerto Nassim Nicholas Taleb RANDOM HOUSE2008 Hardcover English ISBN:9781400067930 洋書 Business & SelfーCulture(ビジネス) Business & Economics 5,068円

Blind to Betrayal Why We Fool Ourselves We Aren't Being Fooled【電子書籍】[ Jennifer Freyd ]

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<p><strong>One of the world's top experts on betrayal looks at why we often can't see it right in front of our faces</strong></p> <p>If the cover-up is worse than the crime, blindness to betrayal can be worse than the betrayal itself. Whether the betrayer is an unfaithful spouse, an abusive authority figure, an unfair boss, or a corrupt institution, we often refuse to see the truth order to protect ourselves. This book explores the fascinating phenomenon of how and why we ignore or deny betrayal, and what we can gain by transforming "betrayal blindness" into insight.</p> <ul> <li>Explains the psychological phenomenon of "betrayal blindness", in which we implicitly choose unawareness in order to avoid the risk of seeing treachery or injustice</li> <li>Based on the authors' substantial original research and clinical experience carried out over the last decade as well as their own story of confronting betrayal</li> <li>Filled with fascinating case studies involving unfaithful spouses, abusive authority figures and corrupt institutions, to name a few</li> </ul> <p>In a remarkable collaboration of science and clinical perspectives, Jennifer Freyd, one of the world's top experts on betrayal and child abuse, teams up with Pamela Birrell, a psychotherapist and educator with 25 years of experience.</p>画面が切り替わりますので、しばらくお待ち下さい。 ※ご購入は、楽天kobo商品ページからお願いします。※切り替わらない場合は、こちら をクリックして下さい。 ※このページからは注文できません。 2,321円

One Piece, Vol. 3 Don't Get Fooled Again【電子書籍】[ Eiichiro Oda ]

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<p>Sure, lots of people say they want to be the King of the Pirates, but how many have the guts to do what it takes? When Monkey D. Luffy first set out to sea in a leaky rowboat, he had no idea what might lie over the horizon. Now he's got a crew--sort of--in the form of swordsman Roronoa Zolo and treasure-hunting thief Nami. If he wants to prove himself on the high seas, Luffy will have to defeat the weird pirate lord Buggy the Clown. He'll have to find a map to the Grand Line, the sea route where the toughest pirates sail. And he'll have to face the Dread Captain Usopp, who claims to be a notorious pirate captain...but frankly, Usopp says a lot of things...</p>画面が切り替わりますので、しばらくお待ち下さい。 ※ご購入は、楽天kobo商品ページからお願いします。※切り替わらない場合は、こちら をクリックして下さい。 ※このページからは注文できません。 748円

Summary: Fooled Again Review and Analysis of Mark Crispin Miller's Book【電子書籍】[ BusinessNews Publishing ]

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<p><strong>The must-read summary of Mark Crispin Miller's book: "Fooled Again: How the Right Stole the 2004 Election and Why They'll Steal the Next One Too (Unless We Stop Them)".</strong></p> <p>This complete summary of "Fooled Again" by Mark Crispin Miller, a media studies professor and activist for media reform, shows that the presidential election of 2004 was marked by mass quantities of irregularities ? machine malfunctions, logistical misinformation, bureaucratic red tape and overt partisan harassment. In his book, the author explains that all of these seemed to hamper the Democratic vote, and leave the Republican vote unaffected. In addition to this, the press remained oddly silent. This summary demonstrates how this form of "electoral fraud" is the reason for the outcome in 2004 and constitutes the new Republican strategy.</p> <p><strong>Added-value of this summary:</strong><br /> ? Save time<br /> ? Understand how electoral fraud may have changed the outcome of the 2004 presidential election<br /> ? Expand your knowledge of American politics</p> <p><strong>To learn more, read "Fooled Again" and discover the dark secret behind the Bush administration's electoral success and how the media may have abetted it.</strong></p>画面が切り替わりますので、しばらくお待ち下さい。 ※ご購入は、楽天kobo商品ページからお願いします。※切り替わらない場合は、こちら をクリックして下さい。 ※このページからは注文できません。 1,500円

The Illusionist The True Story of the Man Who Fooled Hitler【電子書籍】[ Robert Hutton ]

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<p>Cairo, 1942: If you had asked a British officer who Colonel Clarke was, they would have been able to point him out: always ready with a drink and a story, he was a well-known figure in the local bars. If you then asked what he did, you would have less success. Those who knew didn't tell, and almost no one really knew at all.</p> <p>Clarke thought of himself as developing a new kind of weapon. Its components? Rumour, stagecraft, a sense of fun. Its target? The mind of Erwin Rommel, Hitler's greatest general. Throughout history, military commanders have sought to mislead their opponents. Dudley Clarke set out to do it on a scale no one had imagined before. Even afterwards, almost no one understood the magnitude of his achievement.</p> <p>Drawing on recently released documents and hugely expanding on the louche portrait of Clarke as seen in <em>SAS: Rogue Heroes,</em> journalist and historian Robert Hutton reveals the amazing story of Clarke's A Force, the invention of the SAS and the Commandos, and the masterful hoodwinking of the Desert Fox at the battle of El Alamein. <em>The Illusionist</em> tells for the first time the dazzling tale of how, at a pivotal moment in the war, British eccentricity and imagination combined to thwart the Nazis and save innumerable lives - on both sides.</p>画面が切り替わりますので、しばらくお待ち下さい。 ※ご購入は、楽天kobo商品ページからお願いします。※切り替わらない場合は、こちら をクリックして下さい。 ※このページからは注文できません。 2,063円

'Volpone' in Context Biters Bitten and Fools Fooled【電子書籍】[ Keith Linley ]

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<p>Duplicity and deception were essential ingredients in a comedy, and though they were not morally acceptable they reflect what happened in real life; the putting of personal obsession and private will before social and Christian responsibilities. But here, the excess of evil is there from the start and simply increases. There is little light-heartedness. It is all one sustained bitter snarl about humanity’s corruption. The tension between what people should do and what they actually do creates dramatic conflicts not just for the characters but also for the audience who may be torn between enjoying the dextrous scamming of Mosca and Volpone yet feeling they ought to be condemned and must be punished in the end. And the questions remain; should they be laughing at any of it and how can they not laugh at such a mad mixture of mistakes, such crass stupidity and such evil greed?</p> <p>The fox is a creature of the night, a predator, a thief. He is a border raider, crossing from wild nature into man’s domestic domain. Nightstalker, elusive, devious, he is embedded deep in the European psyche as a trickster and deceiver. This persona goes back to ancient Greek times when the various fox fables of Aesop mix with other beast tales. The linking of humans to animal characteristics is part of the language: snake in the grass, wolf in sheep’s clothing, brave as a lion, timid as a mouse, busy as a bee, slimy toad, whoreson dog. At the most practical level, for a world almost entirely rural, he is the enemy of farmers and shepherds and individual poor households rearing just a few chickens; the feared killer who could annihilate a henhouse or ravage a warren. He was thus a food burglar, stealing vital nourishment before it could be put on the table and as such a threat to the family’s economy and perhaps even a threat to its survival.</p> <p>Tragedy is as old as human misery and comedy is its not-quite-identical twin, for laughter is as old as tears. One mask may smile, the other cry, but the faces are similar and in many respects so are the two genres, though their outcomes are different. Man’s folly, his potential for evil, his potential for good, his ability to misunderstand the true values of life are common to both forms. One achieves correction of mistakes through disaster, pain, misery, the other through tears turning to laughter as folly is mocked and humiliated and order is restored.</p>画面が切り替わりますので、しばらくお待ち下さい。 ※ご購入は、楽天kobo商品ページからお願いします。※切り替わらない場合は、こちら をクリックして下さい。 ※このページからは注文できません。 2,497円

洋書 Paperback, Fooled Around and Spelled in Love: A Cozy Paranormal Mystery (The Happily Everlasting Series)

Glomarket
*** We ship internationally, so do not use a package forwarding service. We cannot ship to a package forwarding company address because of the Japanese customs regulation. If it is shipped and customs office does not let the package go, we do not make a refund. 【注意事項】 *** 特に注意してください。 *** ・個人ではない法人・団体名義での購入はできません。この場合税関で滅却されてもお客様負担になりますので御了承願います。 ・お名前にカタカナが入っている場合法人である可能性が高いため当店システムから自動保留します。カタカナで記載が必要な場合はカタカナ変わりローマ字で記載してください。 ・お名前またはご住所が法人・団体名義(XX株式会社等)、商店名などを含めている場合、または電話番号が個人のものではない場合、税関から法人名義でみなされますのでご注意ください。 ・転送サービス会社への発送もできません。この場合税関で滅却されてもお客様負担になりますので御了承願います。 *** ・注文後品切れや価格変動でキャンセルされる場合がございますので予めご了承願います。 ・当店でご購入された商品は、原則として、「個人輸入」としての取り扱いになり、すべてニュージャージからお客様のもとへ直送されます。 ・ご注文後、30営業日以内(通常2~3週間)に配送手続きをいたします。配送作業完了後、2週間程度でのお届けとなります。 ・まれに商品入荷状況や国際情勢、運送、通関事情により、お届けが2ヶ月までかかる場合がありますのでお急ぎの場合は注文をお控えください。 ・個人輸入される商品は、すべてご注文者自身の「個人使用・個人消費」が前提となりますので、ご注文された商品を第三者へ譲渡・転売することは法律で禁止されております。 ・関税・消費税が課税される場合があります。詳細はこちらをご確認下さい。PC販売説明文 4,268円

'Volpone' in Context Biters Bitten and Fools Fooled【電子書籍】[ Keith Linley ]

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<p>Everything you need to know about the cultural contexts of 'Volpone'. The unremitting exposure of human vileness is black and bleak, redeemed perhaps by the eventual punishment of the wrongdoers in an outcome achieved more by luck than justice. This book provides detailed in-depth discussion of the various influences that a Jacobean audience would have brought to interpreting the play. How did people think about the world, about God, about sin, about kings, about civilized conduct, about the predatory impulses that drive men to prey upon each other? Historical, literary, political, sociological backgrounds are explained within the biblical-moral matrices by which the play would have been judged. This book links real life in the late 1600s to the world on the stage. Discover the orthodox beliefs people held about religion. Meet the Devil, the Seven Deadly Sins and human depravity. Learn about the social hierarchy, gender relationships, court corruption, class tensions, the literary profile of the time, attitudes to comedy ? and all the subversions, transgressions, and oppositions that made the play a topical satire but also an unsettling picture of a world so close to disaster.</p>画面が切り替わりますので、しばらくお待ち下さい。 ※ご購入は、楽天kobo商品ページからお願いします。※切り替わらない場合は、こちら をクリックして下さい。 ※このページからは注文できません。 2,653円

The Hitler Diaries Fakes that Fooled the World【電子書籍】[ Charles Hamilton ]

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<p>Now for the first time, the complete expose of the most daring and successful forgery of all time. For seven days in April 1983, the sensational discovery of Hitler's sixty-two volumes of secret diaries dominated the news headlines of the world. Scholars hailed the diaries as the greatest find of the century, a historical bonanza that would entirely alter our views of Hitler and the Third Reich. Shocked readers followed daily installments showing that Hitler knew nothing about the Holocaust. Then, in an abrupt reversal, the diaries were proved to be bogus!</p>画面が切り替わりますので、しばらくお待ち下さい。 ※ご購入は、楽天kobo商品ページからお願いします。※切り替わらない場合は、こちら をクリックして下さい。 ※このページからは注文できません。 1,670円

I DIDN'T REALIZE I WAS BEING FOOLED Illusions of Love:When Trust Turns Dark【電子書籍】[ Abdul-Fattahu Ishaq ]

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<p>“I Didn’t Realize I Was Being Fooled” is a gripping tale of deception and self-discovery. The story follows the life of a trusting protagonist who finds herself entangled in a web of lies and manipulation. Initially, everything seems perfect, but as events unfold, the protagonist starts noticing inconsistencies and strange behavior from her loved one. As the plot thickens, the protagonist begins to question their reality, trying to uncover the truth hidden beneath the surface. Along the way, she encounters unexpected lies and face difficult choices that challenge her beliefs and understanding of love. Through the narrative, suspense and tension build as the protagonist unravels the web of deceit surrounding her. The story explores theme of trust, betrayal, and the human capacity to overlook the signs of deception in pursuit of happiness. In the end, the protagonist journey of love and self-discovery lead her to a surprising realization about themselves and the power of perception. The story leaves readers reflecting on the complexities of human relationships and the importance of staying true to one’s instincts.</p>画面が切り替わりますので、しばらくお待ち下さい。 ※ご購入は、楽天kobo商品ページからお願いします。※切り替わらない場合は、こちら をクリックして下さい。 ※このページからは注文できません。 371円

Fooled by Randomness: The Hidden Role of Chance in Life and in the Markets FOOLED BY RANDOMNESS 2/E (Incerto) [ Nassim Nicholas Taleb ]

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FOOLED BY RANDOMNESS 2/E Incerto Nassim Nicholas Taleb RANDOM HOUSE2005 Paperback English ISBN:9780812975215 洋書 Business & SelfーCulture(ビジネス) Business & Economics 3,168円

Money Making Secrets & How One Man Fooled The World【電子書籍】[ Steve Earl-Jones ]

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<p>Donald D or “Don Lapre” born the 19th May, 1964 died the 2nd October, 2011 was an American TV pitchman. He became a multilevel marketing and infomercial salesman and his work involved product packages such as "The Greatest Vitamin in the World" and "Making Money Secrets".</p>画面が切り替わりますので、しばらくお待ち下さい。 ※ご購入は、楽天kobo商品ページからお願いします。※切り替わらない場合は、こちら をクリックして下さい。 ※このページからは注文できません。 108円

Proofiness How You're Being Fooled by the Numbers【電子書籍】[ Charles Seife ]

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<p><strong>The bestselling author of <em>Zero</em> shows how mathematical misinformation pervades-and shapes-our daily lives.</strong></p> <p>According to MSNBC, having a child makes you stupid. You actually lose IQ points. <em>Good Morning America</em> has announced that natural blondes will be extinct within two hundred years. Pundits estimated that there were more than a million demonstrators at a tea party rally in Washington, D.C., even though roughly sixty thousand were there. Numbers have peculiar powers-they can disarm skeptics, befuddle journalists, and hoodwink the public into believing almost anything.</p> <p>"Proofiness," as Charles Seife explains in this eye-opening book, is the art of using pure mathematics for impure ends, and he reminds readers that bad mathematics has a dark side. It is used to bring down beloved government officials and to appoint undeserving ones (both Democratic and Republican), to convict the innocent and acquit the guilty, to ruin our economy, and to fix the outcomes of future elections. This penetrating look at the intersection of math and society will appeal to readers of <em>Freakonomics</em> and the books of Malcolm Gladwell.</p>画面が切り替わりますので、しばらくお待ち下さい。 ※ご購入は、楽天kobo商品ページからお願いします。※切り替わらない場合は、こちら をクリックして下さい。 ※このページからは注文できません。 1,095円

'Volpone' in Context Biters Bitten and Fools Fooled【電子書籍】[ Keith Linley ]

楽天Kobo電子書籍ストア
<p>Duplicity and deception were essential ingredients in a comedy, and though they were not morally acceptable they reflect what happened in real life; the putting of personal obsession and private will before social and Christian responsibilities. But here, the excess of evil is there from the start and simply increases. There is little light-heartedness. It is all one sustained bitter snarl about humanity’s corruption. The tension between what people should do and what they actually do creates dramatic conflicts not just for the characters but also for the audience who may be torn between enjoying the dextrous scamming of Mosca and Volpone yet feeling they ought to be condemned and must be punished in the end. And the questions remain; should they be laughing at any of it and how can they not laugh at such a mad mixture of mistakes, such crass stupidity and such evil greed?</p> <p>The fox is a creature of the night, a predator, a thief. He is a border raider, crossing from wild nature into man’s domestic domain. Nightstalker, elusive, devious, he is embedded deep in the European psyche as a trickster and deceiver. This persona goes back to ancient Greek times when the various fox fables of Aesop mix with other beast tales. The linking of humans to animal characteristics is part of the language: snake in the grass, wolf in sheep’s clothing, brave as a lion, timid as a mouse, busy as a bee, slimy toad, whoreson dog. At the most practical level, for a world almost entirely rural, he is the enemy of farmers and shepherds and individual poor households rearing just a few chickens; the feared killer who could annihilate a henhouse or ravage a warren. He was thus a food burglar, stealing vital nourishment before it could be put on the table and as such a threat to the family’s economy and perhaps even a threat to its survival.</p> <p>Tragedy is as old as human misery and comedy is its not-quite-identical twin, for laughter is as old as tears. One mask may smile, the other cry, but the faces are similar and in many respects so are the two genres, though their outcomes are different. Man’s folly, his potential for evil, his potential for good, his ability to misunderstand the true values of life are common to both forms. One achieves correction of mistakes through disaster, pain, misery, the other through tears turning to laughter as folly is mocked and humiliated and order is restored.</p>画面が切り替わりますので、しばらくお待ち下さい。 ※ご購入は、楽天kobo商品ページからお願いします。※切り替わらない場合は、こちら をクリックして下さい。 ※このページからは注文できません。 2,497円

Fooled【電子書籍】[ Kendall Grey ]

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<p><strong>Fools rush in where gods fear to tread</strong></p> <p>Hear that rumble? No, it’s not my stomach, though I could really go for a goat or three. It’s Thor. THE Thor who threatened to knock my head off with his stupid hammer back in the Viking Age. As of ten minutes ago, he was also my buddy, but revelatory runes and pissy Norns have a penchant for crapping on the great (former) god Loki. If mortality is a thorn in my side, Thor is a spiked baseball bat suppository.</p> <p>But my enemy-turned-friend-turned-raging-berserker-maniac is only the tip of my massive iceberg of problems. Thor’s daddy Odin wants a piece of me, preferably the piece that keeps me breathing. Strange things are afoot at the Asgard Awakening television studio in Los Angeles where my friends and I are about to guest star on the popular program. With a sudden shift in control behind the scenes of the show, mysterious players are arriving on set, and nothing is as it seems. As destructive forces from my past resurface in a disturbing pattern I know all too well, I’m having second thoughts about restarting Ragnarok. My immortality is no longer the only thing on the line. The entire planet is up for grabs if I don’t stop the Odin crime family.</p> <p><strong>FOOLED is the fourth and final book in the Asgard Awakening urban fantasy comedy series</strong></p>画面が切り替わりますので、しばらくお待ち下さい。 ※ご購入は、楽天kobo商品ページからお願いします。※切り替わらない場合は、こちら をクリックして下さい。 ※このページからは注文できません。 1,100円

The Tricky Lizard and the Fox that Fooled Him【電子書籍】[ Ndukaku Anyikam ]

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<p>Everyone loves a good trick every now and again, but when the local jokester Tricky, the lizard, fools all the animals, Fox gets the idea of teaching him a lesson.</p> <p>Will Tricky's arrogance and lack of self-awareness get him into more trouble than he is already in?</p> <p>Get ready for this cute, colorful, and bizarre story straight from the busy minds of a three and five year old.</p>画面が切り替わりますので、しばらくお待ち下さい。 ※ご購入は、楽天kobo商品ページからお願いします。※切り替わらない場合は、こちら をクリックして下さい。 ※このページからは注文できません。 1,371円

The Couple Who Fooled The World (Mills & Boon Modern)【電子書籍】[ Maisey Yates ]

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<p><strong>The true meaning of Keep your enemies close…</strong></p> <p>Most women would kill to be on Ferro Calvaresi’s arm. The enigmatic Italian is one of the richest men in the world and at the top of his business game. Julia Anderson is not most women. She’s as rich as Ferro and twice as hungry. The only way to seal a major deal is for these two rivals to play nicely…together.</p> <p>Yet neither expects the media to soak up their ruse so quickly or so publicly! But when the deal is won are the world’s hottest new couple beginning to believe their own lie?</p> <p>‘Maisey’s imagination knows no bounds!’ ? <em>Chloe, Retail Supervisor, Manchester www.maiseyyates.com</em></p>画面が切り替わりますので、しばらくお待ち下さい。 ※ご購入は、楽天kobo商品ページからお願いします。※切り替わらない場合は、こちら をクリックして下さい。 ※このページからは注文できません。 497円

Incerto: Fooled by Randomness, the Black Swan, the Bed of Procrustes, Antifragile, Skin in the Game INCERTO-5CY (Incerto) [ Nassim Nicholas Taleb ]

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INCERTOー5CY Incerto Nassim Nicholas Taleb RANDOM HOUSE2021 Paperback English ISBN:9780593243657 洋書 Business & SelfーCulture(ビジネス) Business & Economics 15,364円

Fooled Around and Spelled in Love (Un)Lucky Valley Prequel - The Happily Everlasting Series【電子書籍】[ Michelle M. Pillow ]

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<p><strong>Welcome to Everlasting, Maine, where there's no such thing as normal.</strong></p> <p><em>From NY Times & USA TODAY Bestselling Author, Michelle M. Pillow, a Cozy Mystery Paranormal Romantic Comedy.</em></p> <p>Anna Crawford is well aware her town is filled with supernaturals, but she isn't exactly willing to embrace her paranormal gifts. Her aunt says she's a witch-in-denial. All Anna wants is to live a quiet "normal" life and run her business, Witch's Brew Coffee Shop and Bakery. But everything is about to be turned upside down the moment Jackson Argent walks into her life.</p> <p>Jackson isn't sure why he agreed to come back to his boyhood home of Everlasting. It's like a spell was cast and he couldn't say no. Covering the Cranberry Festival isn't exactly the hard-hitting news this reporter is used to. But when a local death is ruled an accident, and the police aren't interested in investigating, he takes it upon himself to get to the bottom of the mystery. To do that, he'll need to enlist the help of the beautiful coffee shop owner.</p> <p>It soon becomes apparent things are not what they seem and more than coffee is brewing in Everlasting.</p> <p><strong>*Books in The Happily Everlasting Series can be read in ANY order!</strong></p> <p><em>Part of the USA TODAY bestselling series: Happily Everlasting!</em></p> <p>__________________________</p> <p><strong>About the (Un)Lucky Valley & Happily Everlasting Series</strong></p> <p>Some of you might know this book as part of the Happily Everlasting Series. My two books in the Happily Everlasting series are prequels to the (Un)Lucky Valley series. Books in The Happily Everlasting Series can be read in ANY order! Series can be read in any order.</p> <p>Happily Everlasting was a group project I did with three other amazing authors: Mandy M. Roth, Jana DeLeon, & Kristen Painter. (Un)Lucky Valley series is by (me) Michelle M. Pillow.</p> <p>Rating: Clean and Wholesome</p> <p><strong>Praise For Fooled Around and Spelled in Love</strong></p> <p>5 Stars! "A wonderful magical intriguing and enjoyable read!" - F Robin, Bookbub (2021)</p> <p>5 Stars! "It had romance magic and lots of suspense. I did not know who the killer was until the end and I'm usually pretty good at figuring it out which was a plus for me." - Willow Webster, Bookbub (2021)</p> <p>5 Stars! "This is a super fun, and sweet paranormal cozy mystery. Loved it! It is cute and entertaining, with romance and great characters." Marianne, Bookbub (2021)</p> <p><strong>Cozy Mysteries Reading Order</strong></p> <p>Fooled Around and Spelled in Love</p> <p>Curses and Cupcakes</p> <p>Better Haunts and Garden Gnomes</p> <p>Any Witch Way But Goode</p> <p>A Potion for Your Thoughts</p>画面が切り替わりますので、しばらくお待ち下さい。 ※ご購入は、楽天kobo商品ページからお願いします。※切り替わらない場合は、こちら をクリックして下さい。 ※このページからは注文できません。 779円

Smile Or Die How Positive Thinking Fooled America and the World【電子書籍】[ Barbara Ehrenreich ]

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<p>In this highly original and hugely entertaining account, Barbara Ehrenreich confronts the cult of positive thinking in America. She examines the impact of positive thinking on religion, medicine, academia and the business community, and exposes the psychological effects of a world which tells us to 'put on a happy face'. From the pink ribbons and platitudes that surround breast cancer sufferers to the blind optimism that led to the recent economic disaster, Ehrenreich pokes holes in conventional wisdom and faux science, and ends with a rallying cry for clarity and courage.</p>画面が切り替わりますので、しばらくお待ち下さい。 ※ご購入は、楽天kobo商品ページからお願いします。※切り替わらない場合は、こちら をクリックして下さい。 ※このページからは注文できません。 1,870円

洋書 Paperback, Proofiness: How You're Being Fooled by the Numbers

Glomarket
*** We ship internationally, so do not use a package forwarding service. We cannot ship to a package forwarding company address because of the Japanese customs regulation. If it is shipped and customs office does not let the package go, we do not make a refund. 【注意事項】 *** 特に注意してください。 *** ・個人ではない法人・団体名義での購入はできません。この場合税関で滅却されてもお客様負担になりますので御了承願います。 ・お名前にカタカナが入っている場合法人である可能性が高いため当店システムから自動保留します。カタカナで記載が必要な場合はカタカナ変わりローマ字で記載してください。 ・お名前またはご住所が法人・団体名義(XX株式会社等)、商店名などを含めている場合、または電話番号が個人のものではない場合、税関から法人名義でみなされますのでご注意ください。 ・転送サービス会社への発送もできません。この場合税関で滅却されてもお客様負担になりますので御了承願います。 *** ・注文後品切れや価格変動でキャンセルされる場合がございますので予めご了承願います。 ・当店でご購入された商品は、原則として、「個人輸入」としての取り扱いになり、すべてニュージャージからお客様のもとへ直送されます。 ・ご注文後、30営業日以内(通常2~3週間)に配送手続きをいたします。配送作業完了後、2週間程度でのお届けとなります。 ・まれに商品入荷状況や国際情勢、運送、通関事情により、お届けが2ヶ月までかかる場合がありますのでお急ぎの場合は注文をお控えください。 ・個人輸入される商品は、すべてご注文者自身の「個人使用・個人消費」が前提となりますので、ご注文された商品を第三者へ譲渡・転売することは法律で禁止されております。 ・関税・消費税が課税される場合があります。詳細はこちらをご確認下さい。PC販売説明文 4,945円

The Man Who Fooled SAVAK【電子書籍】[ Douglas Roberts ]

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<p>WITH THE CURRENT STRIFE IN THE MIDDLE EAST for Democracy, The Man Who Fooled SAVAK is just as relevant today as if it were written in the 1970s.</p> <p>THE MAN WHO FOOLED SAVAK is a sensitive and powerful portrayal of the power of love and of freedom and what one man would do to have both.</p> <p>IT'S 1971. As a former anti-war activist against the war in Vietnam, Doug Roberts now a draftee in the U.S. Army is assigned to the classified message center in Tehran, Iran, where he uncovers evidence that the regime is corrupt and propped up by one of the most brutal secret police forces in modern times ? SAVAK.</p> <p>HE KNOWS THIS BECAUSE his Iranian girlfriend's family is feeling SAVAK's repression and later he nearly loses his life as he also is targeted by SAVAK. Now, he’s caught in the middle. What to do?</p> <p>Based on true events!</p>画面が切り替わりますので、しばらくお待ち下さい。 ※ご購入は、楽天kobo商品ページからお願いします。※切り替わらない場合は、こちら をクリックして下さい。 ※このページからは注文できません。 371円

A Colossal Hoax The Giant from Cardiff that Fooled America【電子書籍】[ Scott Tribble ]

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<p>In October 1869, as America stood on the brink of becoming a thoroughly modern nation, workers unearthed what appeared to be a petrified ten-foot giant on a remote farm in upstate New York. The discovery caused a sensation. Over the next several months, newspapers devoted daily headlines to the story and tens of thousands of Americansーincluding Oliver Wendell Holmes, Ralph Waldo Emerson, and the great showman P. T. Barnumーflocked to see the giant on exhibition. In the colossus, many saw evidence that their continent, and the tiny hamlet of Cardiff, had ties to Biblical history. American science also weighed in on the discovery, and in doing so revealed its own growing pains, including the shortcomings of traditional education, the weaknesses of archaeological methodology, as well as the vexing presence of amateurs and charlatans within its ranks. A national debate ensued over the giant's origins, and was played out in the daily press.</p> <p>Ultimately, the discovery proved to be an elaborate hoax. Still, the story of the Cardiff Giant reveals many things about America in the post-Civil War years. After four years of destruction on an unimagined scale, Americans had increasingly turned their attention to the renewal of progress. But the story of the Cardiff Giant seemed to shed light on a complicated, mysterious past, and for a time scientists, clergymen, newspaper editors, and ordinary Americans struggled to make sense of it. Hucksters, of course, did their best to take advantage of it.</p> <p>The Cardiff Giant was one of the leading questions of the day, and how citizens answered it said much about Americans in 1869 as well as about America more generally.</p>画面が切り替わりますので、しばらくお待ち下さい。 ※ご購入は、楽天kobo商品ページからお願いします。※切り替わらない場合は、こちら をクリックして下さい。 ※このページからは注文できません。 3,254円

Tito's Secret Empire How the Maharaja of the Balkans Fooled the World【電子書籍】[ William Klinger ]

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<p>This groundbreaking biography of Marshal Tito of Yugoslavia presents many startling new revelations, among them his role as an international revolutionary leader and his relationship with Winston Churchill. It highlights his early years as a Comintern operative, the context for his later politics as a leader of the Non-Aligned Movement (NAM). The authors argue that in the 1940s, between the dissolution of the Comintern and the rise of NAM, Tito’s influence and ambition were far greater than has been understood, extending to Italy, France, Greece and Spain via the international Communist networks established during the Spanish Civil War. Klinger and Kulji? disclose for the first time the connection between Tito’s expulsion from the Cominform and the Rome assassination attempt on the Italian Communist Party leader, Palmiro Togliattiーthe man who had plotted to overthrow Tito.</p> <p><em>Tito’s Secret Empire</em>offers a pivotal contribution to our understanding of Tito as a figure of real, rather than imagined, global significance. This dazzlingly original book will reward all those who are interested in the history of international Communism, the Cold War and the Non-Aligned Movement, or in Tito the manーone of the most significant leaders of the twentieth century.</p>画面が切り替わりますので、しばらくお待ち下さい。 ※ご購入は、楽天kobo商品ページからお願いします。※切り替わらない場合は、こちら をクリックして下さい。 ※このページからは注文できません。 2,718円

100 Hoaxes & Mistakes That Fooled Science【電子書籍】[ The Editors of Popular Science ]

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<p><strong>Even experts get duped from time to time! The stories behind scientific fakes and mistakes, from crop circles to miracle cures and beyond.</strong></p> <p>Science is an ongoing quest for knowledge filled with discoveries and experiments, trial and error. And occasionally, the errors can be whoppersーespecially when hoaxers are involved. Some hoaxes are intended merely as well-intended humorous tricks, while others are serious frauds devised for personal gain of glory and riches. This book reveals the greatest science hoaxes and mistakes of all time.</p> <p>Discover the truth behind 100 of the most scandalous scientific errors and outright lies in this fascinating read brought to you by <em>Popular Science</em>ーfrom the experiment that suggested time travel was possible, to the pursuit of alchemy, to rumors about red mercury and its mythical powers, it's an entertaining journey through the history of science.</p>画面が切り替わりますので、しばらくお待ち下さい。 ※ご購入は、楽天kobo商品ページからお願いします。※切り替わらない場合は、こちら をクリックして下さい。 ※このページからは注文できません。 800円

The Coming of the Fairies They Fooled the World【電子書籍】[ Arthur Conan Doyle ]

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<p>Best known as the author of Sherlock Holmes stories but also a devout spiritualist, was entirely convinced by a set of photographs apparently showing two young girls from Cottingley in Yorkshire playing with a group of tiny, translucent fairies. To demonstrate his unshakeable belief in the spirit world, he published The Coming of the Fairies in 1922. Doyle's book lays out the story of the photographs, their supposed provenance, and the implications of their existence. This quirky and fascinating book allows us to get inside the mind of an intelligent, highly respected man who happened to believe in fairies. The Cottingley Fairies appear in a series of five photographs taken by Elsie Wright and Frances Griffiths, two young cousins who lived in Cottingley, near Bradford in England. In 1917, when the first two photographs were taken, Elsie was 16 years old and Frances was 9. The pictures came to the attention of writer Sir Arthur Conan Doyle, who used them to illustrate an article on fairies he had been commissioned to write.</p>画面が切り替わりますので、しばらくお待ち下さい。 ※ご購入は、楽天kobo商品ページからお願いします。※切り替わらない場合は、こちら をクリックして下さい。 ※このページからは注文できません。 292円

The Man Who Fooled God: The Mark Hoffman Murders【電子書籍】[ Mark Dana ]

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<p>Mark Hoffman killed two people with pipe bombs in Salt Lake City in 1985. He was the greatest forger every caught. He fooled hundreds of people including his own parents, his own wife, his friends, and the leaders of the Mormon Church. Many say he was the greatest forger of all time. Read this dramatized version of his story and how his forgeries almost brought down the Mormon Church.</p>画面が切り替わりますので、しばらくお待ち下さい。 ※ご購入は、楽天kobo商品ページからお願いします。※切り替わらない場合は、こちら をクリックして下さい。 ※このページからは注文できません。 500円