Overconfidence the
 
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Overconfidence and Risk Taking in Foreign Policy Decision Making The Case of Turkey’s Syria Policy【電子書籍】[ Imran Demir ]

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<p>This book introduces a new perspective on risk seeking behaviour, developing a framework based on various cognitive theories, and applying it to the specific case-study of Turkey’s foreign policy toward Syria. The author examines why policy makers commit themselves to polices that they do not have the capacity to deliver, and develops an alternative theoretical model to prospect theory in explaining risk taking behaviour based on the concept of overconfidence. The volume suggests that overconfident individuals exhibit risk seeking behaviour that contradicts the risk averse behaviour of individuals in the domain of gain, as predicted by prospect theory. Using a set of testable hypothesis deduced from the model, it presents an empirical investigation of the causes behind Turkish decision makers’ unprecedented level of risk taking toward the uprising in Syria and the consequences of this policy.</p>画面が切り替わりますので、しばらくお待ち下さい。 ※ご購入は、楽天kobo商品ページからお願いします。※切り替わらない場合は、こちら をクリックして下さい。 ※このページからは注文できません。 6,685円

OVERESTIMATING YOUR THOUGHTS Understanding the Consequences of Overconfidence in Our Own Ideas and Beliefs【電子書籍】[ Bonimyke Elvis ]

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<p><strong>Have you ever spent hours agonizing over a thought, only to realize later it was much ado about nothing?</strong></p> <p>We all do it. We get caught up in the whirlwind of our own minds, giving undue weight to fleeting thoughts and anxieties. But what if I told you that these overestimated thoughts are holding you back from living a happier, more fulfilling life?</p> <p>In Bonimyke Elvis's insightful book, <em><strong>"Overestimating Your Thoughts,"</strong></em> you'll discover a powerful framework for recognizing and overcoming the tendency to give your thoughts too much power.</p> <p><em>Here's a taste of what you'll gain:</em></p> <p><em><strong>Unmask the Thought Trap:</strong></em> Learn how your brain is wired to inflate the importance of your thoughts, and how to break free from this unhelpful pattern.<br /> <em><strong>Silence the Inner Critic:</strong></em> Discover strategies to quiet the negative self-talk that can hold you back from taking action.<br /> <em><strong>Cultivate Emotional Agility:</strong></em> Develop the ability to observe your thoughts and emotions without getting swept away by them.<br /> <em><strong>Embrace Uncertainty:</strong></em> Learn to navigate life's inevitable unknowns with greater confidence and clarity.</p> <p><em><strong>"Overestimating Your Thoughts"</strong></em> is not just another self-help book. It's a transformative guide that will empower you to take control of your mind and build a life fueled by reason, not rumination.</p> <p><strong>Ready to stop giving your thoughts so much rent in your head?</strong></p> <p><strong>Order your copy of <em>"Overestimating Your Thoughts"</em> today and embark on a journey of self-discovery and emotional liberation.</strong></p>画面が切り替わりますので、しばらくお待ち下さい。 ※ご購入は、楽天kobo商品ページからお願いします。※切り替わらない場合は、こちら をクリックして下さい。 ※このページからは注文できません。 934円

Supreme Hubris How Overconfidence Is Destroying the Courtーand How We Can Fix It【電子書籍】[ Aaron Tang ]

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<p><strong>How to repair the dysfunction at the Supreme Court in a way that cuts across partisan ideologies</strong></p> <p>The Supreme Court, once the most respected institution in American government, is now routinely criticized for rendering decisions based on the individual justices’ partisan leanings rather than on a faithful reading of the law. For legal scholar Aaron Tang, however, partisanship is not the Court’s root problem. Overconfidence is.</p> <p>Conservative and liberal justices alike have adopted a tone of uncompromising certainty in their ability to solve society’s problems with just the right lawyerly arguments. The result is a Court that lurches stridently from one case to the next, delegitimizing opposing views and undermining public confidence in itself.</p> <p>To restore the Court’s legitimacy, Tang proposes a different approach to hard cases: one in which the Court acknowledges the arguments and interests on both sides and rules in the way that will do the least harm possible. Examining a surprising number of popular opinions where the Court has applied this approachーranging from LGBTQ rights to immigration to juvenile justiceーTang shows how the least harm principle can provide a promising and legally grounded framework for the difficult cases that divide our nation.</p>画面が切り替わりますので、しばらくお待ち下さい。 ※ご購入は、楽天kobo商品ページからお願いします。※切り替わらない場合は、こちら をクリックして下さい。 ※このページからは注文できません。 3,205円

Managerial Overconfidence and Education - Insights from Dual Process Theory【電子書籍】[ Maximilian Margolin ]

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<p>Master's Thesis from the year 2012 in the subject Business economics - Miscellaneous, grade: 1,3, University of Mannheim, course: Business economics, language: English, abstract: Based on data from German DAX-CEOs in this thesis it is argued, that in different fields of education individuals acquire different mind-sets which influence their proneness to overconfidence. Using the framework of dual process reasoning it is proposed that education in quantitative fields, such as mathematics or physics, hampers overconfidence while individuals educated in qualitative fields, such as law or the humanities, become more prone to overconfidence.</p>画面が切り替わりますので、しばらくお待ち下さい。 ※ご購入は、楽天kobo商品ページからお願いします。※切り替わらない場合は、こちら をクリックして下さい。 ※このページからは注文できません。 2,861円

Courage over Confidence Managing Mind Chatter and Winning the Mental Game【電子書籍】[ Mitchell Greene, Ph.D. ]

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<p><em>Courage over Confidence</em> offers a new approach to conquering the mental game of sports. Written for competitive young athletes as well as professionals and Olympians, it is also a game changer for coaches and parents looking for ways to further help their aspiring athletes.</p> <p>In this book, renowned clinical and sport psychologist Dr. Mitchell Greene explodes one of the field’s most common and malicious mythsーthat confidence is a prerequisite for athletic success. The evidence shows that most athletes find it nearly impossible to sustain positive thinking when their minds are riddled with mind chatterーthat unwelcome, doom and gloom self-conversation that crops up in high-stakes competitions. Chatter-filled athletes will excel in practice but struggle to perform on game day and they will fear the stakes of losing despite having trained to compete at their best.</p> <p>The clear instructions in <em>Courage over Confidence</em> provide guidance for managing mind chatter and a method for “joining forces” with that negative voice rather than battling it. With courage over confidence, good players can learn to become great competitors.</p>画面が切り替わりますので、しばらくお待ち下さい。 ※ご購入は、楽天kobo商品ページからお願いします。※切り替わらない場合は、こちら をクリックして下さい。 ※このページからは注文できません。 1,334円

Courage over Confidence Managing Mind Chatter and Winning the Mental Game【電子書籍】[ Mitchell Greene ]

楽天Kobo電子書籍ストア
<p><em>Courage over Confidence</em> offers a new approach to conquering the mental game of sports. Written for competitive young athletes as well as professionals and Olympians, it is also a game changer for coaches and parents looking for ways to further help their aspiring athletes.</p> <p>In this book, renowned clinical and sport psychologist Dr. Mitchell Greene explodes one of the field's most common and malicious myths-that confidence is a prerequisite for athletic success. The evidence shows that most athletes find it nearly impossible to sustain positive thinking when their minds are riddled with mind chatter-that unwelcome, doom and gloom self-conversation that crops up in high-stakes competitions. Chatter-filled athletes will excel in practice but struggle to perform on game day and they will fear the stakes of losing despite having trained to compete at their best.</p> <p>The clear instructions in <em>Courage over Confidence</em> provide guidance for managing mind chatter and a method for "joining forces" with that negative voice rather than battling it. With courage over confidence, good players can learn to become great competitors.</p>画面が切り替わりますので、しばらくお待ち下さい。 ※ご購入は、楽天kobo商品ページからお願いします。※切り替わらない場合は、こちら をクリックして下さい。 ※このページからは注文できません。 1,134円